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The game is up

Clinton’s main arguments for staying in the presidential race:

1) Obama has not yet reached the magic number of delegates needed to declare himself the Democratic candidate.

2) Clinton has won important swing states such as Ohio.

3) She is the best placed candidate to beat John McCain in the general election.

I can’t argue with number 1, save for the fact that Clinton has even fewer delegates than Obama and has no hope of catching up.

Her second argument is dubious. Obama would open up contests in hitherto Republican strongholds. He could win Colorado, Minnesota, New Mexico and West Virginia, and all pretty handily if the latest polls are to be believed. Had either Al Gore or John Kerry won just one of these states, Bush would probably have lost. Both Democrats lost because they failed to see that the 2000 and 2004 elections were to be fought on ideology – they utterly failed to produce a radical progressive vision to counter the neo-conservative utopia of tax cuts and gun boat diplomacy. Clinton will fail because she fails to see that 2008 is different than 2004 and 2008. While ideology is still evident – McCain is no moderate – voters are ready to return to the centre ground. Only Obama appears to have realised this.

Clinton’s third argument is plainly ridiculous. She has run a terrible campaign – has there ever been a frontrunner that has raised as much money and been as far ahead as Clinton, only to squander it all so spectacularly? I was once Hillary’s biggest fan, and yet her campaign has been so negative and so populist as to virtually throw me into the arms of the other guy. How can anyone who has such an effect claim to be “better placed”? How can any Democrat have faith that Clinton won’t screw it up again come November?

The perfect running mate

A quick look at The Tories